AbstractFine tuning crop development is a major breeding avenue to increase crop yield and for adaptation to climate change. In this study, we used a model that integrates our current understanding of the physiology of wheat phenology to predict the development and anthesis date of a RILs population of durum wheat with genotypic parameters controlling vernalization requirement, photoperiod sensitivity, and earlinessper seestimated using leaf stage, final leaf number, anthesis date data from a pot experiment with vernalized and nonvernalized treatments combined with short- and long-day length. Predictions of final leaf number and anthesis date of the QTL-based model was evaluated for the whole population of RILs in a set of independent field trials and for the two parents, which were not used to estimate the parameter values. Our novel approach reduces the number of environments, experimental costs, and the time required to obtain the required data sets to develop a QTL-based prediction of model parameters. Moreover, the use of a physiologically based model of phenology gives new insight into genotype-phenology relations for wheat. We discuss the approach we used to estimate the parameters of the model and their association with QTL and major phenology genes that collocate at QTL.HighlightWe used a modeling framework integrating our current understanding of the physiology of wheat phenology to dissect durum wheat time to anthesis into physiological traits and link them to QTL.
